Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Prediction and Preview by Opta Analyst

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Prediction and Preview by Opta Analyst

Mikel Arteta The Gunners have struggled on the road and face another tough task at the City Ground on Tuesday. We look forward to seeing you with our Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal preview and prediction.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Stats: Quick Hits
Arsenal are favorites at the City Ground, beating Nottingham Forest in 54.4% of pre-match Opta supercomputer simulations.
Forest have dropped the most points (46) in winning places since returning to the Premier League last season.
Arsenal have won five of their last six Premier League games against Nottingham Forest (L1) and are attempting the double against them for only the second time (also in 1998-99).
Match preview
Battling a Christmas and New Year hangover, Arsenal will look for another answer to get a foothold on Premier League leaders Liverpool and build on a giant win over Crystal Palace when they visit Nottingham Forest at the City Ground on Tuesday. .

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta is frustrated as he celebrates his side’s defeats to Fulham and West Ham United and their FA Cup third-round exit against Jurgen Klopp’s Reds. However, the north London club responded with a 5-0 demolition of Palace on Matchday 21, leaving the Gunners level with Aston Villa and Manchester City – the latter of whom have a game in hand – and three clear of leaders Liverpool . points on matchday 22.

Gabriel Magalhães scored the opener against the Eagles at the Emirates Stadium, adding a second soon after, while Leandro Trossard added another before Gabriel Martinelli’s late rise on the 21st minute substitute, as many goals as he managed to get in. the game in his previous 22 Premier League games in total.

Arsenal 5-0 Crystal Palace xG
The first two goals showed Arsenal’s corner expertise: they scored the most goals from set-pieces (13 excluding penalties), the most from corners (10) and the most goals scored (10) in the Premier League this season. . Meanwhile, Forest conceded the most shots on target (11), but Brentford (11) conceded more shots (nine).

Declan Rice and Gabriel were both withdrawn as a precaution during the win at Palace, although the pair are expected to return to Arteta’s line-up on Tuesday. The duo bolster an impressive defensive line-up that has kept the most clean sheets in the Premier League (eight). However, Arteta’s men are looking to record a break in league games between themselves for the second time this season, having previously beaten Bournemouth (4-0) and Man City (1-0) between September and October.

As for the rest of Arteta’s squad news, it remains unchanged: Japan’s Takehiro Tomiyasu and Egypt’s Mohamed Elneny are out for the Asian Cup and Africa Cup of Nations, while Thomas Partey, Fábio Vieira and Jurriën Timber are long-term sidelined. injuries

Forest’s Premier League frustration continues to bubble over for Tuesday’s hosts as the City Ground club expected a points deduction for financial irregularities as they wrote to the Professional Game Match Officials Board Limited (PGMOL) following the sacking of Ivan Toney. – an equalizer in a 3-2 loss to Brentford at MD 21.

Toney pushed away the referee’s disappearing foam and moved the ball to the side – where Forest claimed it was more advantageous – before slotting past Matt Turner to equalize after the early opener from Daniel Ben Mee then put Thomas Frank’s hosts ahead in the second half before Neal Maupay hit the winner after Chris Wood had equalized on 65 minutes.

Brentford 3-2 Nottingham Forest xG
Nuno Espírito Santo claimed the video assistant referee should have reviewed Toney’s goal and intervened before Forest asked PGMOL for an explanation after the defeat leaves them 16th in the league table and just four points off 18 i.e. : from – put Luton Town ahead of MD 22 in the relegation zone. However, Forest have been the architects of their own downfall on several occasions, despite dropping 46 points from winning positions since the start of last season – at least 11 more than any other Premier League team.

Regarding the squad news for the hosts, Nuno is still missing a lot. Sèrge Aurier, Willy Boly, Cheikhou Kouyaté, Ola Aina and Ibrahima Sangaré at the AFCON 2023 and the loanee Nuno Tavares will not be able to feature against his parents. Arsenal club. Tuesday’s start also comes too soon for Felipe and Taiwo Awoniyi, although Anthony Elanga and Divock Origi could return from injury, as Morgan Gibbs-White did in Friday night’s goalless FA Cup fourth-round draw at Bristol City.

Nuno is likely to rely on Wood again, as the Forest striker has scored six goals in his last four Premier League games (five goals, one assist), as many as in his previous 45 combined. Wood averages a goal every 72 minutes in the league under Nuno and has taken 50% of his shots as the Portuguese have taken over.

Chris Wood xG card from Nuno’s first match at Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Head-to-Head
Arsenal have won five of their last six Premier League matches against Forest (L1). Arteta’s men will attempt the double against them for only the second time (also in 1998-99) after winning 2-1 in August thanks to goals from Bukayo Saka and Eddie Nketiah, with Taiwo Awoniyi grabbing a late consolation. .

However, Forest have won their last three home games against Arsenal in all competitions, winning the FA Cup in 2018 (4-2) and 2022 (1-0) before a 1-0 win last season in the game itself when Awoniyi’s. goal secured Premier League safety for the hosts and handed the title to Manchester City.

Forest have never won four consecutive home games against Arsenal, but the visitors’ difficult away form could open up an opportunity on Tuesday.

Nottingham Forest 1-0 Arsenal xG
Recent form
Arsenal have struggled to win just two of their last seven Premier League away matches – against Luton Town and Brentford – despite winning their opening three matches. Crystal Palace, Everton and Bournemouth.

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